V-Lab
Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 3rd, 2026
1 Day
87.54%
increased by 26.74%
1 Week
87.20%
increased by 26.40%
1 Month
86.17%
increased by 25.37%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 08:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 22, 2003 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2438 | 1.13 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1684 | 2.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7867 | 16.42*** |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
Other Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT Analyses
Other MEM Analyses on International Equities