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V-Lab

Bg T&A Co MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

28.05%

decreased by 1.29%

1 Week

32.59%

increased by 3.25%

1 Month

44.29%

increased by 14.95%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/07/2024

to

10/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bg T&A Co MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 16, 2007 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 22-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6619
2.64***
αARCH0.2963
9.12***
βGARCH0.6723
25.18***

0.969

Persistence

22d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6619
2.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2963
9.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6723
25.18***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days