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Bg T&A Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

64.36%

increased by 1.83%

1 Week

64.54%

increased by 2.01%

1 Month

65.19%

increased by 2.66%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 08:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bg T&A Co GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 16, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.04 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

19.0261
3.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1031
35.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9814
169.94***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.0362
22.27***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

37 days