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V-Lab

Bg T&A Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

50.17%

increased by 2.55%

1 Week

54.72%

increased by 7.10%

1 Month

62.81%

increased by 15.19%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 08:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Bg T&A Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 16, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 27% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2129
17.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6273
41.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0575
3.33***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0803
3.47***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0230
4.22***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9718
142.27***

Persistence:

0.869

Half-life:

5 days