V-Lab
Amrest Holdings Se MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
28.76%
decreased by 1.07%
1 Week
29.20%
decreased by 0.63%
1 Month
30.26%
increased by 0.43%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:12 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 27, 2005 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 88% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0624 | 15.77*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8222 | 67.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0551 | 8.11*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0260 | 2.96*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0157 | 3.52*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9791 | 170.54*** |
Persistence:
0.912
Half-life:
8 days
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