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V-Lab

Amrest Holdings Se MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

26.61%

decreased by 0.92%

1 Week

27.38%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Month

29.21%

increased by 1.68%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Amrest Holdings Se MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 27, 2005 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 89% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 89% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow51
αARCH0.0622
3.65***
βGARCH0.8225
20.44***
γleverage0.0551
2.31**
λ₁tau intercept0.0258
1.23
λ₂forecast adj.0.0157
1.87*
λ₃tau persistence0.9791
86.96***

0.912

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0622
3.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8225
20.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0551
2.31**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0258
1.23
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0157
1.87*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9791
86.96***

Persistence:

0.912

Half-life:

8 days