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V-Lab

Amrest Holdings Se MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

28.76%

decreased by 1.07%

1 Week

29.20%

decreased by 0.63%

1 Month

30.26%

increased by 0.43%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:12 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Amrest Holdings Se MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 27, 2005 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 88% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0624
15.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8222
67.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0551
8.11***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0260
2.96***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0157
3.52***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9791
170.54***

Persistence:

0.912

Half-life:

8 days