V-Lab
Amrest Holdings Se MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
23.51%
decreased by 0.41%
1 Week
24.77%
increased by 0.85%
1 Month
27.36%
increased by 3.44%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 27, 2005 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 86% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 86% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 51 | |
| αARCH | 0.0632 | 3.69*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8220 | 20.51*** |
| γleverage | 0.0543 | 2.28** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0245 | 1.22 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0157 | 1.89* |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9794 | 88.92*** |
0.912
Persistence8d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0632 | 3.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8220 | 20.51*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0543 | 2.28** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0245 | 1.22 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0157 | 1.89* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9794 | 88.92*** |
Persistence:
0.912
Half-life:
8 days
Other Amrest Holdings Se Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities