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Amrest Holdings Se MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

23.51%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

24.77%

increased by 0.85%

1 Month

27.36%

increased by 3.44%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Amrest Holdings Se MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 27, 2005 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 86% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 86% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow51
αARCH0.0632
3.69***
βGARCH0.8220
20.51***
γleverage0.0543
2.28**
λ₁tau intercept0.0245
1.22
λ₂forecast adj.0.0157
1.89*
λ₃tau persistence0.9794
88.92***

0.912

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0632
3.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8220
20.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0543
2.28**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0245
1.22
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0157
1.89*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9794
88.92***

Persistence:

0.912

Half-life:

8 days