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V-Lab

Amrest Holdings Se MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

28.19%

increased by 2.50%

1 Week

28.78%

increased by 3.09%

1 Month

30.07%

increased by 4.38%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Amrest Holdings Se MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 27, 2005 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 85% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0641
15.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8204
67.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0543
7.98***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0258
2.96***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0157
3.55***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9791
172.10***

Persistence:

0.912

Half-life:

7 days