V-Lab
Amrest Holdings Se MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
28.19%
increased by 2.50%
1 Week
28.78%
increased by 3.09%
1 Month
30.07%
increased by 4.38%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 27, 2005 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 85% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0641 | 15.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8204 | 67.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0543 | 7.98*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0258 | 2.96*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0157 | 3.55*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9791 | 172.10*** |
Persistence:
0.912
Half-life:
7 days
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