V-Lab
Inner Mongolia Shuangxin Environment-Friendly Material Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
34.93%
decreased by 3.86%
1 Week
35.26%
decreased by 3.53%
1 Month
35.99%
decreased by 2.80%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4341 | 205.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 147.28*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0534 | 1.19 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9335 | 24.33*** |
Persistence:
0.684
Half-life:
2 days
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