V-Lab
Inner Mongolia Shuangxin Environment-Friendly Material Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
22.38%
1 Week
819,542,282.01%
1 Month
17,982,708,361,089,550,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 07:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2025 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 31 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 10.00*** |
| βGARCH | 0.0374 | 17.66*** |
| γleverage | 0.5000 | 43.02*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.8258 | 71.01*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.12 |
0.287
Persistence1d
Half-lifeMF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 10.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0374 | 17.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 43.02*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8258 | 71.01*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.12 |
Persistence:
0.287
Half-life:
1 days
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