Inner Mongolia Shuangxin Environment-Friendly Material Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
56.70%
increased by 23.91%
1 Week
58.56%
increased by 25.77%
1 Month
64.63%
increased by 31.84%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7109 | 6.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4943 | 7.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5379 | 15.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1074 | -0.81 |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
32 days
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