V-Lab
Inner Mongolia Shuangxin Environment-Friendly Material Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
55.41%
decreased by 9.03%
1 Week
61.40%
decreased by 3.04%
1 Month
75.64%
increased by 11.20%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.1599 | 2.62*** |
| αARCH | 0.3710 | 2.10** |
| βGARCH | 0.5375 | 6.21*** |
| γleverage | 0.0694 | 0.19 |
0.943
Persistence12d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1599 | 2.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3710 | 2.10** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5375 | 6.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0694 | 0.19 |
Persistence:
0.943
Half-life:
12 days
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