V-Lab
Litigation Capital Management Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
198.51%
decreased by 0.63%
1 Week
195.00%
decreased by 4.14%
1 Month
182.24%
decreased by 16.90%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 19, 2018 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 66% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5005 | 12.81*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1305 | 17.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8050 | 125.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0868 | 5.06*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
32 days
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