Mercedes-Benz Group AG Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026
1 Day
28.75%
decreased by 1.75%
1 Week
28.88%
decreased by 1.62%
1 Month
29.32%
decreased by 1.18%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 1998 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 48% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 48% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0841 | 5.58*** |
| αARCH | 0.1324 | 9.25*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8143 | 68.87*** |
| γleverage | 0.0642 | 2.51** |
0.979
Persistence32d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0841 | 5.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1324 | 9.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8143 | 68.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0642 | 2.51** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
32 days
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