V-Lab
Mercedes-Benz Group AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
26.99%
decreased by 0.61%
1 Week
27.12%
decreased by 0.48%
1 Month
27.59%
decreased by 0.01%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:12 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 156% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0599 | 10.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0333 | 14.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9250 | 414.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0520 | 7.32*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
44 days
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