V-Lab
Mercedes-Benz Group AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
22.32%
decreased by 0.47%
1 Week
22.64%
decreased by 0.15%
1 Month
23.75%
increased by 0.96%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 1998 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 155% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0602 | 10.97*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0335 | 14.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9246 | 413.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0521 | 7.32*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
43 days
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