Mercedes-Benz Group AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026
1 Day
26.96%
decreased by 0.64%
1 Week
27.09%
decreased by 0.51%
1 Month
27.56%
decreased by 0.04%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 1998 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 43 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 43 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 43-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0603 | 2.76*** |
| αARCH | 0.0334 | 3.52*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9248 | 103.91*** |
| γleverage | 0.0517 | 1.83* |
0.984
Persistence43d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0603 | 2.76*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0334 | 3.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9248 | 103.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0517 | 1.83* |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
43 days
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