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V-Lab

Mercedes-Benz Group AG GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

29.68%

decreased by 1.11%

1 Week

29.80%

decreased by 0.99%

1 Month

30.23%

decreased by 0.56%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Mercedes-Benz Group AG GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 26, 1998 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 158 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.08 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.5703
4.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0625
50.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9956
926.16***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.0797
10.25***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

158 days