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V-Lab

PowerX Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

121.35%

decreased by 6.85%

1 Week

128.70%

increased by 0.50%

1 Month

137.97%

increased by 9.77%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of PowerX Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 19, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

80.8934
13.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1533
2.43**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8021
18.42***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

200.0000
0.03

Persistence:

0.802

Half-life:

3 days