Canara Robeco Asset Management Co Ltd/India GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
52.89%
increased by 11.71%
1 Week
48.97%
increased by 7.79%
1 Month
45.44%
increased by 4.26%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.71 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 7.6814 | 4.14*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1838 | 2.19** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6829 | 10.82*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.7094 | 1.13 |
Persistence:
0.683
Half-life:
2 days
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