V-Lab
Canara Robeco Asset Management Co Ltd/India Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
38.25%
decreased by 4.57%
1 Week
37.47%
decreased by 5.35%
1 Month
36.62%
decreased by 6.20%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2854 | 5.31*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1305 | 1.62 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6162 | 1.95* |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.8436 | 1.54 |
Persistence:
0.747
Half-life:
2 days
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