Canara Robeco Asset Management Co Ltd/India Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
45.64%
increased by 6.86%
1 Week
43.39%
increased by 4.61%
1 Month
40.76%
increased by 1.98%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2161 | 4.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1563 | 1.70* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6007 | 2.02** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.8285 | 1.06 |
Persistence:
0.757
Half-life:
2 days
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