V-Lab
Leshan Giantstar Farming & Husbandry Corp Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
46.26%
decreased by 4.84%
1 Week
44.59%
decreased by 6.51%
1 Month
41.13%
decreased by 9.97%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3563 | 6.40*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1257 | 5.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7532 | 16.69*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | 0.1768 | 2.23** |
| γ2 | -0.3000 | -2.66*** |
| γ3 | 0.1872 | 3.53*** |
Persistence:
0.879
Half-life:
5 days
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