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V-Lab

Leshan Giantstar Farming & Husbandry Corp Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

52.19%

decreased by 4.06%

1 Week

52.57%

decreased by 3.68%

1 Month

49.95%

decreased by 6.30%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Leshan Giantstar Farming & Husbandry Corp Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 41% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1222
14.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7120
46.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0353
-3.87***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.5718
0.23
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7489
0.23
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.817

Half-life:

3 days