V-Lab
Leshan Giantstar Farming & Husbandry Corp Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
52.19%
1 Week
52.57%
1 Month
49.95%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 41% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1222 | 14.38*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7120 | 46.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0353 | -3.87*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.5718 | 0.23 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7489 | 0.23 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.817
Half-life:
3 days
Other Leshan Giantstar Farming & Husbandry Corp Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities