Leshan Giantstar Farming & Husbandry Corp Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
61.05%
decreased by 3.25%
1 Week
60.24%
decreased by 4.06%
1 Month
57.75%
decreased by 6.55%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 64% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4548 | 13.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1045 | 11.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8714 | 145.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0406 | -3.10*** |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
15 days
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