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V-Lab

Sansteel Minguang Co Ltd Fujian GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

33.05%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Week

33.48%

increased by 0.27%

1 Month

35.05%

increased by 1.84%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sansteel Minguang Co Ltd Fujian GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 26, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 76% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1054
12.53***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1022
17.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9090
343.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0441
-5.84***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

63 days