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Sansteel Minguang Co Ltd Fujian GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

26.88%

increased by 1.47%

1 Week

27.53%

increased by 2.12%

1 Month

29.85%

increased by 4.44%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:15 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sansteel Minguang Co Ltd Fujian GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 26, 2007 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 63 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 63 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 63-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1031
3.11***
αARCH0.1012
4.47***
βGARCH0.9095
86.29***
γleverage-0.0434
-1.45

0.989

Persistence

63d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1031
3.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1012
4.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9095
86.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0434
-1.45

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

63 days