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V-Lab

Sansteel Minguang Co Ltd Fujian MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

24.81%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Week

25.95%

increased by 0.71%

1 Month

28.84%

increased by 3.60%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sansteel Minguang Co Ltd Fujian MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 26, 2007 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 73% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 73% more than negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow121
αARCH0.1014
6.64***
βGARCH0.8798
51.41***
γleverage-0.0428
-2.45**
λ₁tau intercept1.4474
1.55
λ₂forecast adj.0.7904
7.16***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.960

Persistence

17d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1014
6.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8798
51.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0428
-2.45**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.4474
1.55
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7904
7.16***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days