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V-Lab

Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

105.07%

decreased by 7.41%

1 Week

108.22%

decreased by 4.26%

1 Month

122.27%

increased by 9.79%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2003 to Aug 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 5059 trading days (~20.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1678
15.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8318
101.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0004
0.02
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
12.09***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0178
12.37***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9822
400.92***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

5059 days