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V-Lab

Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

51.33%

decreased by 3.06%

1 Week

54.57%

increased by 0.18%

1 Month

65.27%

increased by 10.88%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2003 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 69 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 69 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 69-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7912
2.28**
αARCH0.1666
4.84***
βGARCH0.8234
26.83***

0.990

Persistence

69d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7912
2.28**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1666
4.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8234
26.83***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

69 days