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V-Lab

Arab CO. FOR AST M GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 9th, 2026

1 Day

32.45%

decreased by 1.05%

1 Week

36.59%

increased by 3.09%

1 Month

46.19%

increased by 12.69%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Arab CO. FOR AST M GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2018 to Aug 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8421
15.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2304
17.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7119
54.77***

Persistence:

0.942

Half-life:

12 days