Skip to main content
V-Lab

Arab CO. FOR AST M GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

43.21%

increased by 1.43%

1 Week

45.64%

increased by 3.86%

1 Month

51.70%

increased by 9.92%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Arab CO. FOR AST M GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2018 to Aug 20, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 32% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8974
15.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2066
12.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7007
51.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0655
2.77***

Persistence:

0.940

Half-life:

11 days