adidas AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
25.58%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
25.96%
increased by 0.38%
1 Month
27.23%
increased by 1.65%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 02:53 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 1995 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1072 | 3.94*** |
| αARCH | 0.0079 | 1.35 |
| βGARCH | 0.9314 | 105.07*** |
| γleverage | 0.0702 | 3.33*** |
0.974
Persistence27d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1072 | 3.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0079 | 1.35 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9314 | 105.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0702 | 3.33*** |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
27 days
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