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V-Lab

adidas AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

40.30%

decreased by 0.77%

1 Week

40.04%

decreased by 1.03%

1 Month

39.12%

decreased by 1.95%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of adidas AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 17, 1995 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0036
0.68
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9486
123.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0592
4.95***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.1531
0.12
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days