V-Lab
adidas AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
29.11%
increased by 0.36%
1 Week
29.24%
increased by 0.49%
1 Month
29.67%
increased by 0.92%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:09 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 1995 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0039 | 1.75* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9454 | 235.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0623 | 13.43*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.1232 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
35 days
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