V-Lab
adidas AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
40.30%
decreased by 0.77%
1 Week
40.04%
decreased by 1.03%
1 Month
39.12%
decreased by 1.95%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 1995 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0036 | 0.68 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9486 | 123.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0592 | 4.95*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.1531 | 0.12 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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