Range International Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
277.88%
increased by 16.92%
1 Week
297.98%
increased by 37.02%
1 Month
404.71%
increased by 143.75%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 22, 2016 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 91 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1598 | 1.71* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7385 | 62.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0195 | -0.12 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.21 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3492 | 0.32 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5381 | 0.60 |
Persistence:
0.889
Half-life:
6 days
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