V-Lab
Range International Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
191.36%
decreased by 9.48%
1 Week
214.99%
increased by 14.15%
1 Month
316.63%
increased by 115.79%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 22, 2016 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 91 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1578 | 1.70* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7383 | 56.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0183 | -0.12 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.20 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3505 | 0.34 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5343 | 0.61 |
Persistence:
0.887
Half-life:
6 days
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