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V-Lab

Range International Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026

1 Day

159.16%

decreased by 3.66%

1 Week

188.41%

increased by 25.59%

1 Month

291.23%

increased by 128.41%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 06:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Range International Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 22, 2016 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1578
1.70*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7383
56.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0183
-0.12
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.20
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3505
0.34
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5343
0.61

Persistence:

0.887

Half-life:

6 days