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V-Lab

Range International Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

191.36%

decreased by 9.48%

1 Week

214.99%

increased by 14.15%

1 Month

316.63%

increased by 115.79%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Range International Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 22, 2016 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1578
1.70*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7383
56.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0183
-0.12
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.20
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3505
0.34
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5343
0.61

Persistence:

0.887

Half-life:

6 days