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Range International Limited Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

369,187,644,972,038,500.00%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

477,932,371,784,962,900.00%

increased by 108,744,726,812,924,350.00%

1 Month

750,414,525,445,769,700.00%

increased by 381,226,880,473,731,200.00%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 08:49 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Range International Limited S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 22, 2016 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 47 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst40.5607
αARCH0.3429
βGARCH0.6425
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ160.4763
γ2-115.1693
γ3249.9628
γ4-425.3641
γ5320.0227
γ644.0013
γ7-1,139.2365
γ82,897.4755
γ9-3,047.7967
γ101,299.3337

0.985

Persistence

47d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

40.5607
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3429
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6425
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ160.4763
γ2-115.1693
γ3249.9628
γ4-425.3641
γ5320.0227
γ644.0013
γ7-1,139.2365
γ82,897.4755
γ9-3,047.7967
γ101,299.3337

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days