Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Range International Limited Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

349,301,871,738,472,060.00%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

474,257,185,923,418,500.00%

increased by 124,955,314,184,946,430.00%

1 Month

797,801,629,479,408,900.00%

increased by 448,499,757,740,936,800.00%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 03:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Range International Limited S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 22, 2016 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 30136 trading days (~119.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~30136 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst60.6538
αARCH0.4217
βGARCH0.5783
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ187.4479
γ2-87.3990
γ349.9680
γ4-168.2916
γ5175.2655
γ6135.9234
γ7-1,151.1989
γ82,676.5615
γ9-2,653.1665
γ10953.6221

1.000

Persistence

30136d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

60.6538
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4217
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5783
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ187.4479
γ2-87.3990
γ349.9680
γ4-168.2916
γ5175.2655
γ6135.9234
γ7-1,151.1989
γ82,676.5615
γ9-2,653.1665
γ10953.6221

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

30136 days