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V-Lab

Range International Limited Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

1,388.77%

decreased by 2.56%

1 Week

1,747.01%

increased by 355.68%

1 Month

2,728.81%

increased by 1,337.48%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Range International Limited S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 22, 2016 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 206 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1715
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2951
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7015
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1144.6951
γ2-259.1727
γ3144.9441
γ4-48.7692
γ5460.2781
γ6-1,870.0850
γ73,209.5640
γ8-2,545.0710
γ9774.6545

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

206 days