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V-Lab

Abionyx Pharma SA Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

52.03%

decreased by 38.79%

1 Week

61.21%

decreased by 29.61%

1 Month

66.20%

decreased by 24.62%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Abionyx Pharma SA S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 15, 2016 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0338
1.97**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5037
4.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0845
1.17
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ153.0745
5.59***
γ2-81.8749
-5.62***
γ340.0979
3.30***
γ4-16.8418
-1.31
γ515.3454
1.21
γ6-17.9605
-1.73*
γ710.4421
1.58
γ8-1.8118
-0.48

Persistence:

0.588

Half-life:

1 days