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V-Lab

Abionyx Pharma SA Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

64.06%

decreased by 35.55%

1 Week

78.76%

decreased by 20.85%

1 Month

86.11%

decreased by 13.50%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Abionyx Pharma SA SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 15, 2016 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0254
2.00**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5071
3.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0619
1.07
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ153.2539
5.69***
γ2-82.1595
-5.71***
γ340.2833
3.36***
γ4-16.7781
-1.32
γ514.6667
1.18
γ6-16.3622
-1.60
γ77.1431
1.04
γ85.9771
0.62

Persistence:

0.569

Half-life:

1 days