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V-Lab

IEC Education Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

48.19%

increased by 9.13%

1 Week

51.95%

increased by 12.89%

1 Month

58.06%

increased by 19.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of IEC Education Ltd SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 9, 2009 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2634
5.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2952
2.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5667
4.63***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.2161
-3.35***
γ20.3754
3.85***
γ3-0.2649
-3.79***
γ40.2700
2.51**

Persistence:

0.862

Half-life:

5 days