V-Lab
IEC Education Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
67.24%
decreased by 5.54%
1 Week
63.80%
decreased by 8.98%
1 Month
64.18%
decreased by 8.60%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 9, 2009 to Aug 21, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2940 | 36.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2601 | 13.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0335 | 1.06 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.2991 | 1.47 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8081 | 2.01** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.571
Half-life:
1 days
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