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V-Lab

IEC Education Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

67.24%

decreased by 5.54%

1 Week

63.80%

decreased by 8.98%

1 Month

64.18%

decreased by 8.60%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of IEC Education Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 9, 2009 to Aug 21, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2940
36.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2601
13.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0335
1.06
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.2991
1.47
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8081
2.01**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.571

Half-life:

1 days