Skip to main content
V-Lab

DHL Group MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

24.51%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

25.16%

increased by 0.24%

1 Month

26.64%

increased by 1.72%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of DHL Group MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 17, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 309% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0299
7.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8238
67.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0924
18.41***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0289
2.51**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0313
2.40**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9579
56.74***

Persistence:

0.900

Half-life:

7 days