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V-Lab

Kcl Infra Project Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

39.05%

decreased by 4.45%

1 Week

41.41%

decreased by 2.09%

1 Month

44.92%

increased by 1.42%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kcl Infra Project Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 2009 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 23% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2046
26.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7260
95.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0379
-8.31***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.9816
1.09
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8921
29.05***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.912

Half-life:

7 days