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V-Lab

Kcl Infra Project Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

65.87%

decreased by 8.42%

1 Week

64.34%

decreased by 9.95%

1 Month

60.00%

decreased by 14.29%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kcl Infra Project Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 2009 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 23% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2046
26.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7249
95.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0380
-8.27***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.9728
1.08
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8914
29.66***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.910

Half-life:

7 days