V-Lab
Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
41.05%
1 Week
41.76%
1 Month
43.44%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 28, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 38% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1406 | 26.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7960 | 100.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0389 | -7.42*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0299 | 6.19*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0165 | 6.81*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9803 | 339.31*** |
Persistence:
0.917
Half-life:
8 days
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