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V-Lab

Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

41.05%

decreased by 0.40%

1 Week

41.76%

increased by 0.31%

1 Month

43.44%

increased by 1.99%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 28, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 38% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1406
26.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7960
100.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0389
-7.42***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0299
6.19***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0165
6.81***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9803
339.31***

Persistence:

0.917

Half-life:

8 days