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V-Lab

Helix Resources Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

130.05%

decreased by 18.79%

1 Week

132.46%

decreased by 16.38%

1 Month

135.52%

decreased by 13.32%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Helix Resources Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow56
αARCH0.2400
5.39***
βGARCH0.4889
6.05***
γleverage-0.0992
-1.74*
λ₁tau intercept3.5019
1.32
λ₂forecast adj.0.2300
1.43
λ₃tau persistence0.7182
3.68***

0.679

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2400
5.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4889
6.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0992
-1.74*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.5019
1.32
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2300
1.43
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7182
3.68***

Persistence:

0.679

Half-life:

2 days