V-Lab
Helix Resources Limited Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026
1 Day
127.55%
decreased by 3.36%
1 Week
126.80%
decreased by 4.11%
1 Month
124.49%
decreased by 6.42%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 06:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.3320 | 4.99*** |
| αARCH | 0.1102 | 5.90*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8666 | 46.39*** |
| γleverage | -0.0380 | -1.22 |
0.958
Persistence16d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.3320 | 4.99*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1102 | 5.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8666 | 46.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0380 | -1.22 |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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