Helix Resources Limited Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
188.91%
increased by 11.09%
1 Week
198.91%
increased by 21.09%
1 Month
219.46%
increased by 41.64%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9340 | 5.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1150 | 6.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7877 | 24.28*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | 0.0451 | 1.31 |
| γ2 | -0.0905 | -1.96** |
| γ3 | 0.0980 | 3.19*** |
| γ4 | -0.0792 | -2.16** |
| γ5 | 0.0105 | 0.25 |
| γ6 | 0.0784 | 2.05** |
| γ7 | -0.1069 | -3.97*** |
Persistence:
0.903
Half-life:
7 days
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