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V-Lab

Helix Resources Limited Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

188.13%

decreased by 6.36%

1 Week

196.94%

increased by 2.45%

1 Month

215.53%

increased by 21.04%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Helix Resources Limited S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9313
5.86***
αARCH0.1129
6.66***
βGARCH0.7936
24.80***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ10.0429
1.23
γ2-0.0871
-1.87*
γ30.0965
3.19***
γ4-0.0804
-2.24**
γ50.0155
0.38
γ60.0703
1.84*
γ7-0.0999
-3.75***

0.906

Persistence

7d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9313
5.86***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1129
6.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7936
24.80***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ10.0429
1.23
γ2-0.0871
-1.87*
γ30.0965
3.19***
γ4-0.0804
-2.24**
γ50.0155
0.38
γ60.0703
1.84*
γ7-0.0999
-3.75***

Persistence:

0.906

Half-life:

7 days