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V-Lab

Nitta Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

32.90%

increased by 3.43%

1 Week

31.38%

increased by 1.91%

1 Month

27.38%

decreased by 2.09%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 11:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nitta Corp S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2674
2.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1167
6.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8017
30.90***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.0403
0.57
γ2-0.1123
-1.21
γ30.1620
3.87***
γ4-0.1612
-4.58***
γ50.1020
3.14***
γ6-0.0301
-0.97
γ7-0.0216
-0.69
γ80.0400
1.65*

Persistence:

0.918

Half-life:

8 days