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V-Lab

Nitta Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

35.61%

increased by 2.77%

1 Week

35.65%

increased by 2.81%

1 Month

35.81%

increased by 2.97%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 07:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nitta Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 46 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 46 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.22 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.4518
5.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0712
32.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9852
333.73***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.2166
12.19***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

46 days