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V-Lab

Nitta Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

46.76%

increased by 16.83%

1 Week

42.79%

increased by 12.86%

1 Month

37.63%

increased by 7.70%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 07:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nitta Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 203% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 203% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0749
4.03***
βGARCH0.6324
14.44***
γleverage0.1523
4.27***
λ₁tau intercept0.0237
2.76***
λ₂forecast adj.0.0312
4.58***
λ₃tau persistence0.9638
124.07***

0.783

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0749
4.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6324
14.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1523
4.27***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0237
2.76***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0312
4.58***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9638
124.07***

Persistence:

0.783

Half-life:

3 days