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V-Lab

Nitta Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

32.18%

increased by 1.97%

1 Week

32.55%

increased by 2.34%

1 Month

33.49%

increased by 3.28%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 11:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nitta Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 203% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0751
16.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6323
47.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1526
17.55***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0238
2.79***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0313
4.51***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9636
121.06***

Persistence:

0.784

Half-life:

3 days