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V-Lab
V-Lab

Nitta Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

42.53%

decreased by 6.75%

1 Week

40.10%

decreased by 9.18%

1 Month

37.61%

decreased by 11.67%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 07:33 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nitta Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 200% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 200% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0758
4.08***
βGARCH0.6312
14.41***
γleverage0.1512
4.25***
λ₁tau intercept0.0238
2.77***
λ₂forecast adj.0.0314
4.59***
λ₃tau persistence0.9636
123.68***

0.783

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0758
4.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6312
14.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1512
4.25***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0238
2.77***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0314
4.59***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9636
123.68***

Persistence:

0.783

Half-life:

3 days