V-Lab
Nitta Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
32.18%
increased by 1.97%
1 Week
32.55%
increased by 2.34%
1 Month
33.49%
increased by 3.28%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 11:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 1995 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 203% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0751 | 16.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6323 | 47.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1526 | 17.55*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0238 | 2.79*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0313 | 4.51*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9636 | 121.06*** |
Persistence:
0.784
Half-life:
3 days
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities