V-Lab
Nitta Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
46.76%
increased by 16.83%
1 Week
42.79%
increased by 12.86%
1 Month
37.63%
increased by 7.70%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 07:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 1995 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 203% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 203% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.0749 | 4.03*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6324 | 14.44*** |
| γleverage | 0.1523 | 4.27*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0237 | 2.76*** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0312 | 4.58*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9638 | 124.07*** |
0.783
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0749 | 4.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6324 | 14.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1523 | 4.27*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0237 | 2.76*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0312 | 4.58*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9638 | 124.07*** |
Persistence:
0.783
Half-life:
3 days
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