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V-Lab
V-Lab

Nitta Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

30.05%

decreased by 2.55%

1 Week

31.01%

decreased by 1.59%

1 Month

31.98%

decreased by 0.62%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 09:04 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nitta Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 200% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 200% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0757
4.06***
βGARCH0.6303
14.34***
γleverage0.1516
4.25***
λ₁tau intercept0.0237
2.77***
λ₂forecast adj.0.0313
4.58***
λ₃tau persistence0.9637
123.88***

0.782

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0757
4.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6303
14.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1516
4.25***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0237
2.77***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0313
4.58***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9637
123.88***

Persistence:

0.782

Half-life:

3 days