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V-Lab

Nitta Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

30.07%

increased by 1.05%

1 Week

30.78%

increased by 1.76%

1 Month

32.31%

increased by 3.29%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 07:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nitta Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 204% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0752
16.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6310
47.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1533
17.56***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0237
2.78***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0312
4.51***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9638
121.44***

Persistence:

0.783

Half-life:

3 days