CBOE Emerging Market Markets Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	51
αARCH	0.2603	3.01***
βGARCH	0.7298	12.37***
γleverage	-0.2156	-1.85*
λ₁tau intercept	0.1713	1.29
λ₂forecast adj.	0.2085	3.60***
λ₃tau persistence	0.7915	13.54***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	51
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.2603	3.01***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7298	12.37***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.2156	-1.85*
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.1713	1.29
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.2085	3.60***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.7915	13.54***

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Dana Brata Luhur Tbk PT MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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