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V-Lab

Dana Brata Luhur Tbk PT EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

149.82%

increased by 112.99%

1 Week

152.51%

increased by 115.68%

1 Month

162.84%

increased by 126.01%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 02:41 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Dana Brata Luhur Tbk PT EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 18, 2019 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 23% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0911
11.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2799
15.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9837
509.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0285
2.37**

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days