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V-Lab

Casa Emtia Petrol Kimyevi Ve EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

65.47%

increased by 17.41%

1 Week

66.03%

increased by 17.97%

1 Month

66.44%

increased by 18.38%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 01:52 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Casa Emtia Petrol Kimyevi Ve EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 25, 2012 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 42% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0346
9.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4064
31.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6392
16.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0705
6.88***

Persistence:

0.639

Half-life:

2 days