Mercedes-Benz Group AG EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
31.07%
increased by 0.18%
1 Week
31.17%
increased by 0.28%
1 Month
31.55%
increased by 0.66%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 1998 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 108% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0285 | 8.95*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1267 | 32.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9814 | 684.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0445 | -12.29*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
37 days
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