V-Lab
Mercedes-Benz Group AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
22.30%
decreased by 0.47%
1 Week
22.63%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Month
23.76%
increased by 0.99%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 1998 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 162% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0332 | 16.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9237 | 232.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0539 | 18.13*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.4019 | 0.09 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0145 | 0.09 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6188 | 0.14 |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
43 days
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