Skip to main content
V-Lab

Mercedes-Benz Group AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

30.60%

decreased by 1.19%

1 Week

30.43%

decreased by 1.36%

1 Month

30.07%

decreased by 1.72%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mercedes-Benz Group AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 26, 1998 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 185% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0355
15.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8828
159.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0657
17.80***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0284
4.62***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0289
4.03***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9633
115.44***

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days