V-Lab
Mercedes-Benz Group AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
23.01%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Week
23.50%
increased by 0.47%
1 Month
24.67%
increased by 1.64%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 06:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 1998 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 184% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0357 | 3.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8821 | 57.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0656 | 4.37*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0283 | 1.16 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0290 | 1.92* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9632 | 47.33*** |
Persistence:
0.951
Half-life:
14 days
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