V-Lab
Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
58.56%
decreased by 7.26%
1 Week
58.75%
decreased by 7.07%
1 Month
58.75%
decreased by 7.07%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 31, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 190% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0814 | 10.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4518 | 11.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1546 | 12.20*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.8657 | 0.41 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5470 | 0.42 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.610
Half-life:
1 days
Other Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities