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V-Lab

Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

51.06%

decreased by 0.60%

1 Week

57.21%

increased by 5.55%

1 Month

58.55%

increased by 6.89%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 31, 2011 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 194% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0809
10.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4522
11.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1567
12.34***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.8687
0.41
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5475
0.43
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.611

Half-life:

1 days