V-Lab
Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
51.06%
decreased by 0.60%
1 Week
57.21%
increased by 5.55%
1 Month
58.55%
increased by 6.89%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 31, 2011 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 194% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0809 | 10.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4522 | 11.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1567 | 12.34*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.8687 | 0.41 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5475 | 0.43 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.611
Half-life:
1 days
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