Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
74.16%
increased by 12.77%
1 Week
69.05%
increased by 7.66%
1 Month
64.26%
increased by 2.87%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 31, 2011 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 190% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0829 | 10.38*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4481 | 11.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1572 | 12.27*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.8958 | 0.42 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5446 | 0.43 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.610
Half-life:
1 days
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