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V-Lab

Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

74.16%

increased by 12.77%

1 Week

69.05%

increased by 7.66%

1 Month

64.26%

increased by 2.87%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 31, 2011 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 190% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0829
10.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4481
11.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1572
12.27***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.8958
0.42
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5446
0.43
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.610

Half-life:

1 days