Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
65.86%
increased by 7.55%
1 Week
64.95%
increased by 6.64%
1 Month
62.84%
increased by 4.53%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 31, 2011 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 53% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2225 | 19.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2357 | 27.49*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9165 | 192.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0497 | -6.06*** |
Persistence:
0.916
Half-life:
8 days
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