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V-Lab

Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

54.66%

decreased by 2.09%

1 Week

55.06%

decreased by 1.69%

1 Month

56.08%

decreased by 0.67%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 31, 2011 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.81) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8692
17.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1205
27.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8075
124.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.8146
6.50***

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days