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V-Lab

Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

68.64%

increased by 2.97%

1 Week

69.65%

increased by 3.98%

1 Month

72.33%

increased by 6.66%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 31, 2011 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6932
10.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0920
5.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8484
32.72***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0002
0.03

Persistence:

0.940

Half-life:

11 days